FLORIDA DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
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STATE BOARD OF EDUCATION
JIM HORNE
Commissioner of Education
F. PHILIP HANDY,
Chairman
T. WILLARD FAIR,
Vice Chairman
Members
SALLY BRADSHAW
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LINDA J. EADS, ED.D.
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CHARLES PATRICK GARCÍA
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JULIA L. JOHNSON
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WILLIAM L. PROCTOR, PH.D.
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CONTACT PERSON
NAME:
Steve
Kimble
PHONE:
(850) 245-0405
SUNCOM:
205-0405
August 29, 2003
CEFO:
04-07
M E M O R A N D U M
TO:
District School Superintendents
FROM:
Raymond Monteleone
SUBJECT:
Five-Year Projection of Capital Outlay FTE Student Enrollment
Projections of student enrollment are used in several important planning processes by school districts, one of
which is planning for facility needs. These projections have increased importance with the passage of the
Class Size Amendment and related requirements.
Attached are three reports. Attachment One is a report of actual, by district, by school, 2002-03 capital
outlay FTE. These data are used for the distribution of Public Education Capital Outlay (PECO) funds. The
report reflects actual data reported to the Department by school districts, adjusted to exclude facilities not
appropriate to the PECO distribution process. This information has previously been provided to your district
for review and approval.
Because of the significant changes in patterns of student enrollment, two separate forecasts have been
created. The report entitled Attachment Two does not include the effects of changes in student enrollment
patterns. The report entitled Attachment Three does include the effects of these changes.
Historic school district student enrollment growth patterns have been altered in most school districts by
recent legislative changes impacting student enrollment. These changes include the advent of Corporate
Tax Credit Scholarships in 2002-03, accelerated graduation options passed by the 2003 Legislature, and
an increase in third grade retentions as a result of legislation passed in 2002.
RAYMOND MONTELEONE
DEPUTY COMMISSIONER / CHIEF EDUCATION FINANCIAL OFFICER
325 W. GAINES STREET • SUITE 1214 • TALLAHASSEE, FL 32399-0400 • (850) 245-0456 • www.fldoe.org
District School Superintendents
August 29, 2003
Page Two
The forecast shown in Attachment Two assumes that no legislative changes have occurred and that historic
growth patterns experienced up to 2001-02 will continue through the end of the forecast. This forecast is
being provided to the districts so that the underlying growth rates behind the capital outlay FTE forecasts
can be viewed without the impact of recent changes.
The forecast shown in Attachment Three represents district preliminary long-term capital outlay FTE
projections. Estimated impacts from Corporate Tax Credit Scholarships, accelerated graduation options, and
third grade retentions are included in this forecast.
Both capital outlay FTE forecasts are currently being provided to school districts for their review. The
projections in Attachment Three, if reviewed and accepted by the school districts, will be the basis for long-
term facilities planning.
Please review your capital outlay FTE forecasts on or before Friday, September 5, 2003 and provide
notification of acceptance of the projections as presented. If you would like your district’s forecast reviewed
for possible adjustments, contact Steve Kimble (Suncom 205-0405 or (850) 245-0405 or e-mail
steve.kimble@fldoe.org). The forecast will be finalized on Monday, September 8, 2003.
Thank you for your review and assistance in producing accurate enrollment forecasts.
RM/sk
Attachments
cc:
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School District Facility Coordinators
School District FTE Planning Administrators